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Gefle vs FC Jarfalla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Gefle Logo

Gefle

3 - 1
FT
FC Jarfalla Logo

FC Jarfalla

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ogestad O.
Assist: Danha C. F.
27'
Markovski D.
36' Event
Vikgren L.
Assist: Sipic A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gefle in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gefle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gefle
15%
Draws
34%
FC Jarfalla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FC Jarfalla haven't matched Gefle's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Gefle taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gefle Clean Sheet 20%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle FC Jarfalla
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.14 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs FC Jarfalla
3:1
May 23, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs Gefle
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Vikgren L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Persson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogestad O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 42 / 100
FC Jarfalla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle FC Jarfalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Jarfalla has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

FC Jarfalla lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Gefle scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS FC Jarfalla
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
03 Oct
Enkopings SK
1 : 0
Gefle
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

FC Jarfalla

(Away)
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)