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Geita Gold vs Coastal Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Geita Gold
20%
Draws
51%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coastal Union lately — more wins on the board than Geita Gold.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geita Gold Coastal Union
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.76 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Coastal Union
0:0
May 1, 2024 Federation Cup
Coastal Union vs Geita Gold
1:0
Nov 30, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Geita Gold
3:1
Jan 24, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Coastal Union
1:0
Oct 13, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Geita Gold
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geita Gold 32 / 100
Coastal Union 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geita Gold Coastal Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Geita Gold scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Geita Gold went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Geita Gold VS Coastal Union
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Geita Gold

(Home)
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
Page 1 of 6

Coastal Union

(Away)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 26 2 2 71:14 80
2 Azam 30 21 6 3 63:21 69
3 Simba 30 21 6 3 59:25 69
4 Coastal Union 30 11 10 9 22:19 43
5 Kinondoni MC 30 8 13 9 27:39 37
6 Namungo 30 8 12 10 27:29 36
7 Singida Black Stars 30 9 9 12 29:36 36
8 Mashujaa 30 9 8 13 30:33 35
9 Tanzania Prisons 30 7 13 10 29:35 34
10 Kagera Sugar 30 7 13 10 23:32 34
11 Fountain Gate 30 8 9 13 29:39 33
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 9 13 19:32 33
13 JKT Tanzania 30 6 14 10 21:30 32
14 TRA United 30 5 12 13 20:41 27
15 Geita Gold 30 5 10 15 18:38 25
16 Mtibwa Sugar 30 5 6 19 30:54 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 (Relegation)