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Geita Gold vs Kagera Sugar

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 game between Geita Gold and Kagera Sugar finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Geita Gold
30%
Draws
34%
Kagera Sugar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Geita Gold

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kagera Sugar come out ahead of Geita Gold on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Geita Gold taking it.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 68%
Kagera Sugar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geita Gold Kagera Sugar
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Kagera Sugar
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Geita Gold
1:0
Dec 25, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Geita Gold
2:2
Sep 6, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Kagera Sugar
1:1
May 7, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Kagera Sugar
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geita Gold 46 / 100
Kagera Sugar 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geita Gold Kagera Sugar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kagera Sugar conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Kagera Sugar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Geita Gold scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Geita Gold VS Kagera Sugar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30262271:1480
2Azam30216363:2169
3Simba30216359:2569
4Coastal Union301110922:1943
5Kinondoni MC30813927:3937
6Namungo308121027:2936
7Singida Black Stars30991229:3636
8Mashujaa30981330:3335
9Tanzania Prisons307131029:3534
10Kagera Sugar307131023:3234
11Fountain Gate30891329:3933
12Dodoma Jiji30891319:3233
13JKT Tanzania306141021:3032
14TRA United305121320:4127
15Geita Gold305101518:3825
16Mtibwa Sugar30561930:5421