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Geita Gold vs Mashujaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup Nyankumbu Stadium, Geita
Geita Gold Logo

Geita Gold

Fri, Apr 10, 2026
0 - 1
01:00 PM
Mashujaa Logo

Mashujaa

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Geita Gold
15%
Draws
59%
Mashujaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mashujaa have won more games recently than Geita Gold.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Geita Gold taking it.
  • Mashujaa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mashujaa, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mashujaa here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 20%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geita Gold Mashujaa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.79 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Federation Cup
Geita Gold vs Mashujaa
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Mashujaa
1:3
Aug 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Geita Gold
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geita Gold 36 / 100
Mashujaa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geita Gold Mashujaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashujaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Geita Gold scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Geita Gold went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Geita Gold VS Mashujaa
1.29 Goals Scored 0.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
43% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Geita Gold

(Home)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
18 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Geita Gold
Page 1 of 6

Mashujaa

(Away)
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0