Sport Picks

Tanzania

Federation Cup Nyankumbu Stadium

Mashujaa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Geita Gold play Mashujaa in the Federation Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Geita Gold averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Mashujaa averaged 0.55 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Geita Gold won 0, Mashujaa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Geita Gold and 0.88 for Mashujaa. This points to a Mashujaa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Geita Gold

33%

Draws

42%

Mashujaa

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Geita Gold picked up more points recently compared to Mashujaa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 45%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Geita Gold Clean Sheet 25%

Mashujaa Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 41%

Second Half Goal 43%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Geita Gold	Mashujaa
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	5	8
Draws	9	11
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	0.63	0.55
Goals Conceded	1.33	0.9
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Federation Cup

Geita Gold vs Mashujaa

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Feb 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Mashujaa

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Aug 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Geita Gold

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geita Gold 28 / 100

Mashujaa 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Geita Gold Mashujaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mashujaa or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +27.4%

4.55

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Geita Gold attacking → ← attacking Mashujaa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geita Gold scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Mashujaa let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Geita Gold went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mashujaa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50