Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009

GEL

0 - 1

Desportiva Ferroviaria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2009 game between GEL and Desportiva Ferroviaria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

GEL

Draws

90%

Desportiva Ferroviaria

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Desportiva Ferroviaria come out ahead of GEL on wins alone.
Model gives Desportiva Ferroviaria a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

GEL Clean Sheet 10%

Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	GEL	Desportiva Ferroviaria
Matches Played	30	42
Wins	5	16
Draws	4	10
Losses	21	16
Goals Scored	0.33	1.13
Goals Conceded	4	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.33	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2009 Capixaba

Desportiva Ferroviaria vs GEL

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Feb 21, 2009 Capixaba

GEL vs Desportiva Ferroviaria

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GEL 10 / 100

Desportiva Ferroviaria 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

GEL Desportiva Ferroviaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 42 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

GEL found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: GEL remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

GEL VS Desportiva Ferroviaria

0.33 Goals Scored 1.13

4 Goals Conceded 1.5

83% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SAO Mateus	18	11	3	4	28:21	36
2	Rio Branco ES	18	8	7	3	35:21	31
3	Jaguare	18	9	3	6	30:25	30
4	Vilavelhense	18	8	4	6	29:27	28
5	Linhares Futebol Clube	18	8	3	7	18:19	27
6	Desportiva Ferroviaria	18	6	4	8	26:24	22
7	Rio Bananal FC	18	6	3	9	22:26	21
8	GEL	18	6	2	10	24:33	20
9	Serra	18	5	4	9	32:39	19
10	Colatinense	18	5	3	10	25:34	18