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GEL vs Jaguare

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
GEL Logo

GEL

2 - 1
FT
Jaguare Logo

Jaguare

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2009 game between GEL and Jaguare finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GEL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
GEL
30%
Draws
23%
Jaguare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaguare come out ahead of GEL on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on GEL taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
GEL Clean Sheet 10%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GEL Jaguare
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 12
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2009 Capixaba
GEL vs Jaguare
2:1
Jan 23, 2009 Capixaba
Jaguare vs GEL
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GEL 83 / 100
Jaguare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GEL Jaguare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguare let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

GEL has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Jaguare has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

GEL VS Jaguare
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.83
100% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

GEL

(Home)
18 Aug
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 2
GEL
14 Aug
GEL
6 : 0
CTE Colatina
01 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 0
GEL
28 Jul
GEL
0 : 4
Linhares Futebol Clube
23 Jul
GEL
0 : 0
Doze Futebol Clube
Page 1 of 7

Jaguare

(Away)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)