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Gela vs Athletic Palermo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Gela Logo

Gela

0 - 0
FT
Athletic Palermo Logo

Athletic Palermo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Gela
35%
Draws
40%
Athletic Palermo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletic Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gela haven't matched Athletic Palermo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Gela Clean Sheet 16%
Athletic Palermo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gela Athletic Palermo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Athletic Palermo
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Athletic Palermo vs Gela
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Athletic Palermo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gela 31 / 100
Athletic Palermo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gela Athletic Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gela scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Athletic Palermo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Gela went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gela VS Athletic Palermo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gela

(Home)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Gela
0 : 0
Enna
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1
Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Palermo

(Away)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
13 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Enna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)