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Gela vs Gelbison

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Kosovan T.
90' Event
Ferreira M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Gela and Gelbison finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gelbison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Gela
20%
Draws
65%
Gelbison
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gela haven't matched Gelbison's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gela a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gela Clean Sheet 11%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gela Gelbison
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Gela
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Gelbison
0:2
Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Gela
1:1
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Gelbison
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Gelbison Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosovan T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gela 40 / 100
Gelbison 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gela Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gela found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Gelbison's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Gela has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gela VS Gelbison
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gela

(Home)
03 May
Gelbison
1 : 0
Gela
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
Castrumfavara
3 : 1
Gela
12 Apr
Gela
0 : 0
Reggina
02 Apr
Nissa
1 : 0
Gela
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Gelbison

(Away)
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0
Gelbison
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Gelbison
1 : 0
Gela
26 Apr
Enna
0 : 1
Gelbison
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)