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Gela vs Paceco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Gela Logo

Gela

3 - 0
FT
Paceco Logo

Paceco

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Gela and Paceco finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gela
30%
Draws
12%
Paceco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gela come out ahead of Paceco on wins alone.
  • Gela are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gela Clean Sheet 16%
Paceco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gela Paceco
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.26 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Paceco
3:0
Nov 12, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Paceco vs Gela
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gela 84 / 100
Paceco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gela Paceco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paceco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gela scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Gela went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gela VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gela

(Home)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Gela
0 : 0
Enna
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1
Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 7

Paceco

(Away)
06 May
Paceco
1 : 2
Roccella
29 Apr
ACR Messina
5 : 0
Paceco
22 Apr
Paceco
1 : 2
Troina
15 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Paceco
08 Apr
Paceco
1 : 3
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)