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Gelbison vs Ebolitana Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Gelbison Logo

Gelbison

1 - 1
FT
Ebolitana Logo

Ebolitana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gelbison
20%
Draws
40%
Ebolitana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gelbison have won more games recently than Ebolitana.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 68%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gelbison Ebolitana
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.56 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Ebolitana
1:1
Nov 12, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Ebolitana vs Gelbison
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gelbison 41 / 100
Ebolitana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gelbison Ebolitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gelbison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gelbison scored in 82% of their last 39 games.

Ebolitana let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Gelbison has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gelbison VS Ebolitana
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.17
50% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gelbison

(Home)
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0
Afragolese
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Ebolitana

(Away)
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0
Melfi
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)