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Stadium Background

Gelbison vs Igea Virtus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Gelbison at 1.4 goals for, 1 against; Igea Virtus at 1.53 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Gelbison have won 0 to Igea Virtus's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 2.06) point toward Gelbison. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gelbison
15%
Draws
45%
Igea Virtus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gelbison have won more games recently than Igea Virtus.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Gelbison have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Igea Virtus, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 10%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gelbison Igea Virtus
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.4 1.53
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Igea Virtus
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Gelbison
1:1
Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Igea Virtus
0:1
Nov 1, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Gelbison
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gelbison 30 / 100
Igea Virtus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gelbison Igea Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gelbison scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Igea Virtus has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gelbison stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gelbison VS Igea Virtus
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gelbison

(Home)
07 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 3
Gelbison
04 Oct
Gelbison
0 : 1
US Venafro
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Igea Virtus

(Away)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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