Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Mosciaro M.
18'
18'
Sparacello C.
45'
45'
Uliano F.
AI Match Summary
Gelbison in this Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gelbison.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rende
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gelbison have won more games recently than Rende.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 20%
Rende Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gelbison | Rende |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Rende
4:1
Jan 19, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Gelbison
1:2
Feb 28, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Gelbison
1:2
Oct 11, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Rende
0:0
Feb 21, 2016 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Rende
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gelbison Compare
Top Goalscorer Sparacello C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Uliano F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Rende Compare
Top Goalscorer Mosciaro M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gelbison 36 / 100
Rende 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gelbison Rende
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gelbison scored in 82% of their last 34 games.
Defensive concern: Rende conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Gelbison went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gelbison VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gelbison
(Home) 04 Oct
Gelbison
0 : 1 US Venafro
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1 Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1 Gelbison
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Gelbison
0 : 1 US Venafro
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0 Afragolese
03 May
Gelbison
1 : 0 Gela
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 AS Acireale
Page 1 of 4
Rende
(Away) 29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0 Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1 Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0 Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2 Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2 San Luca
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0 Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1 Rende
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2 Rende
01 May
Castrovillari
0 : 1 Rende
24 Apr
Gelbison
4 : 1 Rende
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gelbison | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 63:23 | 78 |
| 2 | Cavese | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 58:21 | 77 |
| 3 | AS Acireale | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:31 | 69 |
| 4 | Lamezia Terme | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58:35 | 69 |
| 5 | S. Agata | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 47:31 | 60 |
| 6 | Paterno | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 7 | Cittanovese | 36 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 48:56 | 52 |
| 8 | Santa Maria Cilento | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58:50 | 51 |
| 9 | Licata | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 57:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 36:34 | 49 |
| 11 | Portici 1906 | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 42:44 | 44 |
| 12 | Trapani | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 44:47 | 41 |
| 13 | San Luca | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 45:52 | 41 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 34:60 | 40 |
| 15 | ASD Giarre | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 33:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Castrovillari | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 39:48 | 38 |
| 17 | Rende | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35:50 | 36 |
| 18 | Troina | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 39:71 | 29 |
| 19 | Biancavilla | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 25:83 | 14 |
| 20 | FC Messina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)
