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Gelnica vs Stropkov

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gelnica play Stropkov in the Slovak Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gelnica averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Stropkov averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Gelnica won 0, Stropkov won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 3, 2024 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Gelnica and 1.93 for Stropkov. This points to a Stropkov double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gelnica
15%
Draws
53%
Stropkov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stropkov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Gelnica picked up more points recently compared to Stropkov.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Gelnica Clean Sheet 10%
Stropkov Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gelnica Stropkov
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 5 17
Draws 0 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2024 Slovak Cup
Gelnica vs Stropkov
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gelnica 31 / 100
Stropkov 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gelnica Stropkov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stropkov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Stropkov & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gelnica attacking → ← attacking Stropkov

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gelnica scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Stropkov let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Gelnica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Stropkov lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 56
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38