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Gemert vs FC 's-Gravenzande - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bolhuis M.
31' Event
Kemper R.
57' Event
Van Dijk L.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Gemert and FC 's-Gravenzande finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Gemert
20%
Draws
7%
FC 's-Gravenzande
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gemert come out ahead of FC 's-Gravenzande on wins alone.
  • Gemert are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gemert have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Gemert Clean Sheet 20%
FC 's-Gravenzande Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemert FC 's-Gravenzande
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 17 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.15 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.47 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 KNVB Beker
FC 's-Gravenzande vs Gemert
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs FC 's-Gravenzande
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 Derde Divisie
FC 's-Gravenzande vs Gemert
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemert Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolhuis M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kemper R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

FC 's-Gravenzande Compare

Top Goalscorer van Ooijen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vermolen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemert 85 / 100
FC 's-Gravenzande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemert FC 's-Gravenzande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemert Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemert's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

FC 's-Gravenzande's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gemert stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gemert VS FC 's-Gravenzande
2.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemert

(Home)
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 7

FC 's-Gravenzande

(Away)
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2
Gemert
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
14 Jun
Groene Ster
4 : 3
FC 's-Gravenzande
11 Jun
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 1
Groene Ster
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)