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Gemert vs Jong Den Haag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 5, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gemert host Jong Den Haag in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gemert have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Jong Den Haag's 2 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, Gemert have won 0 to Jong Den Haag's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.85 xG vs 1.31) point toward Jong Den Haag. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Gemert
15%
Draws
32%
Jong Den Haag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gemert carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Gemert Clean Sheet 18%
Jong Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemert Jong Den Haag
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 2
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2020 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Jong Den Haag
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Derde Divisie
Jong Den Haag vs Gemert
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemert 32 / 100
Jong Den Haag 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemert Jong Den Haag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemert's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jong Den Haag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Gemert remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gemert VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemert

(Home)
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 6

Jong Den Haag

(Away)
02 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 0
Jong Den Haag
12 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Jong Den Haag
22 Nov
Jong Den Haag
7 : 0
Jong Maastricht
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)