Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gemert vs VVSB

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VVSB in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VVSB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gemert
35%
Draws
32%
VVSB
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • VVSB have won more games recently than Gemert.
  • Win probability leans Gemert's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gemert Clean Sheet 13%
VVSB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemert VVSB
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs VVSB
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Gemert
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Gemert
2:2
Sep 15, 2024 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs VVSB
0:1
Apr 8, 2023 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs VVSB
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemert 75 / 100
VVSB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemert VVSB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemert Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gemert scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Gemert remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: VVSB conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gemert VS VVSB
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemert

(Home)
23 Aug
Gemert
2 : 2
GOES
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Gemert
07 Jul
Gemert
1 : 1
Helmond Sport
23 May
GOES
3 : 3
Gemert
16 May
Gemert
6 : 1
SteDoCo
Page 1 of 6

VVSB

(Away)
22 Aug
VVSB
0 : 2
RKSV UDI 19
15 Aug
SV Poortugaal
0 : 1
VVSB
30 May
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
VVSB
27 May
VVSB
1 : 1
Excelsior Maassluis
23 May
Rijnvogels
0 : 3
VVSB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)