Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gemlikspor vs 1926 Polatli Belediye

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Yildiz A. K.
62' Event
Musli S.
74' Event
Koylu K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Gemlikspor and 1926 Polatli Belediye finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemlikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gemlikspor
28%
Draws
22%
1926 Polatli Belediye
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gemlikspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gemlikspor a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gemlikspor have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%
1926 Polatli Belediye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor 1926 Polatli Belediye
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs 1926 Polatli Belediye
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
1926 Polatli Belediye vs Gemlikspor
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Gemlikspor vs 1926 Polatli Belediye
4:1
Oct 26, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
1926 Polatli Belediye vs Gemlikspor
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildiz A. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

1926 Polatli Belediye Compare

Top Goalscorer Musli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 59 / 100
1926 Polatli Belediye 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor 1926 Polatli Belediye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1926 Polatli Belediye's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Gemlikspor scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Gemlikspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS 1926 Polatli Belediye
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
12 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
05 Apr
Gemlikspor
2 : 1
Bulvarspor
28 Mar
Kucukcekmece
3 : 0
Gemlikspor
24 Mar
Gemlikspor
3 : 2
Yesil Yalova FK
Page 1 of 6

1926 Polatli Belediye

(Away)
18 Apr
1926 Polatli Belediye
0 : 2
Silivrispor
12 Apr
Bulvarspor
1 : 4
1926 Polatli Belediye
05 Apr
1926 Polatli Belediye
1 : 4
Kucukcekmece
28 Mar
Yesil Yalova FK
1 : 2
1926 Polatli Belediye
24 Mar
1926 Polatli Belediye
0 : 0
Edirnespor Genclik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Gemlikspor301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)