Sport Picks
Gemlikspor vs 1926 Polatli Belediye - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Yildiz A. K.
62'
62'
Musli S.
74'
74'
Koylu K.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Gemlikspor and 1926 Polatli Belediye finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemlikspor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemlikspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gemlikspor carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Gemlikspor a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Gemlikspor have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%
1926 Polatli Belediye Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gemlikspor | 1926 Polatli Belediye |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs 1926 Polatli Belediye
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
1926 Polatli Belediye vs Gemlikspor
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Gemlikspor vs 1926 Polatli Belediye
4:1
Oct 26, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
1926 Polatli Belediye vs Gemlikspor
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gemlikspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Yildiz A. K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
1926 Polatli Belediye Compare
Top Goalscorer Musli S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gemlikspor 95 / 100
1926 Polatli Belediye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gemlikspor 1926 Polatli Belediye
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
1926 Polatli Belediye's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Gemlikspor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Gemlikspor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Gemlikspor VS 1926 Polatli Belediye
1.88 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Gemlikspor
(Home) 07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2 Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0 Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2 Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0 Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0 Bursa Yildirimspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0 Etimesgut
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1 Kestel Cilekspor
05 Apr
Gemlikspor
2 : 1 Bulvarspor
Page 1 of 3
1926 Polatli Belediye
(Away) 18 Apr
1926 Polatli Belediye
0 : 2 Silivrispor
12 Apr
Bulvarspor
1 : 4 1926 Polatli Belediye
05 Apr
1926 Polatli Belediye
1 : 4 Kucukcekmece
28 Mar
Yesil Yalova FK
1 : 2 1926 Polatli Belediye
24 Mar
1926 Polatli Belediye
0 : 0 Edirnespor Genclik
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Bulvarspor
1 : 4 1926 Polatli Belediye
28 Mar
Yesil Yalova FK
1 : 2 1926 Polatli Belediye
15 Mar
Cankaya FK
0 : 0 1926 Polatli Belediye
01 Mar
Inegol Kafkas
0 : 0 1926 Polatli Belediye
14 Feb
Buyukcekmece Gucu
3 : 0 1926 Polatli Belediye
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inegol Kafkas | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 49:26 | 62 |
| 2 | Corluspor | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 57:23 | 61 |
| 3 | Kucukcekmece | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 54:30 | 56 |
| 4 | Etimesgut | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 36:23 | 52 |
| 5 | Bursa Yildirimspor | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 38:31 | 49 |
| 6 | Silivrispor | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Buyukcekmece Gucu | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 34:35 | 40 |
| 8 | Gemlikspor | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 38 |
| 9 | Yesil Yalova FK | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38:36 | 37 |
| 10 | Galata Spor Kulubu | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 34:34 | 37 |
| 11 | Bulvarspor | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:47 | 35 |
| 12 | Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 13 | Cankaya FK | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 38:37 | 34 |
| 14 | Kestel Cilekspor | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | 30 |
| 15 | 1926 Polatli Belediye | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 24:44 | 28 |
| 16 | Edirnespor Genclik | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 22:65 | 15 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
