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Gemlikspor vs Buyukcekmece Gucu Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Kucukdurmus M.
76' Event
Gunes F.
Assist: Topatar I.
89' Event
Koylu K.
Assist: Yildiz A. K.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Gemlikspor and Buyukcekmece Gucu finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemlikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Gemlikspor
20%
Draws
6%
Buyukcekmece Gucu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gemlikspor come out ahead of Buyukcekmece Gucu on wins alone.
  • Gemlikspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%
Buyukcekmece Gucu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Buyukcekmece Gucu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Buyukcekmece Gucu
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Buyukcekmece Gucu vs Gemlikspor
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucukdurmus M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gunes F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Buyukcekmece Gucu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 95 / 100
Buyukcekmece Gucu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Buyukcekmece Gucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gemlikspor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gemlikspor's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Buyukcekmece Gucu let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Buyukcekmece Gucu
2 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Aksehirspor
0 : 4
Gemlikspor
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Buyukcekmece Gucu

(Away)
03 Oct
Galata Spor Kulubu
2 : 0
Buyukcekmece Gucu
27 Sept
Buyukcekmece Gucu
0 : 0
Beykoz Anadolu
20 Sept
Orduspor 1967
3 : 0
Buyukcekmece Gucu
12 Sept
Buyukcekmece Gucu
1 : 2
Yesil Yalova FK
06 Sept
Silivrispor
2 : 1
Buyukcekmece Gucu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inegol Kafkas 30 18 8 4 49:26 62
2 Corluspor 30 18 7 5 57:23 61
3 Kucukcekmece 30 17 5 8 54:30 56
4 Etimesgut 30 14 10 6 36:23 52
5 Bursa Yildirimspor 30 13 10 7 38:31 49
6 Silivrispor 30 12 7 11 42:36 43
7 Buyukcekmece Gucu 30 9 13 8 34:35 40
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 8 12 33:42 38
9 Yesil Yalova FK 30 9 10 11 38:36 37
10 Galata Spor Kulubu 30 10 7 13 34:34 37
11 Bulvarspor 30 9 8 13 35:47 35
12 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 30 7 14 9 23:36 35
13 Cankaya FK 30 8 10 12 38:37 34
14 Kestel Cilekspor 30 8 6 16 27:39 30
15 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 7 16 24:44 28
16 Edirnespor Genclik 30 3 6 21 22:65 15
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)