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Gemlikspor vs Cankaya FK

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Koylu K.
Assist: Gunes F.
59' Event
Balaban F.
Assist: Ilgaz S.
81' Event
Baykara K.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Gemlikspor and Cankaya FK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemlikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gemlikspor
39%
Draws
30%
Cankaya FK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gemlikspor come out ahead of Cankaya FK on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 18%
Cankaya FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Cankaya FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Cankaya FK
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Cankaya FK vs Gemlikspor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Koylu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baykara K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cankaya FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Balaban F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 32 / 100
Cankaya FK 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Cankaya FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemlikspor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Cankaya FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gemlikspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Cankaya FK
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
12 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
05 Apr
Gemlikspor
2 : 1
Bulvarspor
28 Mar
Kucukcekmece
3 : 0
Gemlikspor
24 Mar
Gemlikspor
3 : 2
Yesil Yalova FK
Page 1 of 6

Cankaya FK

(Away)
18 Apr
Galata Spor Kulubu
1 : 3
Cankaya FK
12 Apr
Cankaya FK
0 : 0
Beykoz Ishakli Spor
05 Apr
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
0 : 5
Cankaya FK
29 Mar
Cankaya FK
1 : 4
Corluspor
25 Mar
Etimesgut
1 : 3
Cankaya FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Gemlikspor301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)