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Gemlikspor vs Etimesgut Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Gunes F.
Assist: Toklu M.
84'
Akbulut A.
84'
Akbulut A.

AI Match Summary

Gemlikspor in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gemlikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gemlikspor
15%
Draws
35%
Etimesgut
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Etimesgut have won more games recently than Gemlikspor.
  • Win probability leans Gemlikspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Etimesgut here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 20%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Etimesgut
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Gemlikspor vs Etimesgut
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Etimesgut vs Gemlikspor
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Etimesgut
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunes F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Etimesgut Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 85 / 100
Etimesgut 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Etimesgut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Gemlikspor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gemlikspor scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Etimesgut conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Etimesgut
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Aksehirspor
0 : 4
Gemlikspor
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
Page 1 of 6

Etimesgut

(Away)
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
27 Apr
Kucukcekmece
2 : 0
Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
2 Etimesgut 4 3 0 1 6:1 9
3 Ayvalikgucu 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
4 Balikesirspor 4 3 0 1 12:9 9
5 Eskisehir Anadolu 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
7 Eskisehirspor 4 2 1 1 13:6 7
8 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
9 Bigaspor 4 1 2 1 7:5 5
10 Soke 1970 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
11 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
12 Altay 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
13 Bucaspor 1928 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
14 Aksehirspor 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
15 Karsiyaka 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
16 Kepez Bld. 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 4 0 2 2 1:8 2
18 Alanya 1221 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)