Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gemlikspor vs Inegol Kafkas

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Toroman O.
Assist: Kaplan Y.
81' Event
Akbas M. A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gemlikspor
15%
Draws
34%
Inegol Kafkas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inegol Kafkas lately — more wins on the board than Gemlikspor.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Gemlikspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%
Inegol Kafkas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Inegol Kafkas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.24 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Inegol Kafkas
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Inegol Kafkas vs Gemlikspor
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemlikspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Inegol Kafkas Compare

Top Goalscorer Toroman O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 86 / 100
Inegol Kafkas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Inegol Kafkas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gemlikspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gemlikspor's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Inegol Kafkas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Inegol Kafkas
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Aksehirspor
0 : 4
Gemlikspor
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
12 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
Page 1 of 6

Inegol Kafkas

(Away)
20 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
12 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 3
Soma Spor
06 Sept
Menemenspor
1 : 3
Inegol Kafkas
18 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
12 Apr
Kestel Cilekspor
1 : 2
Inegol Kafkas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inegol Kafkas 30 18 8 4 49:26 62
2 Corluspor 30 18 7 5 57:23 61
3 Kucukcekmece 30 17 5 8 54:30 56
4 Etimesgut 30 14 10 6 36:23 52
5 Bursa Yildirimspor 30 13 10 7 38:31 49
6 Silivrispor 30 12 7 11 42:36 43
7 Beykoz Ishakli Spor 30 9 13 8 34:35 40
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 8 12 33:42 38
9 Yesil Yalova FK 30 9 10 11 38:36 37
10 Galata Spor Kulubu 30 10 7 13 34:34 37
11 Bulvarspor 30 9 8 13 35:47 35
12 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 30 7 14 9 23:36 35
13 Cankaya FK 30 8 10 12 38:37 34
14 Kestel Cilekspor 30 8 6 16 27:39 30
15 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 7 16 24:44 28
16 Edirnespor Genclik 30 3 6 21 22:65 15
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)