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Gemlikspor vs Kepez Bld. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gemlikspor host Kepez Bld. in the 3. Lig Group 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Kepez Bld. have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Gemlikspor have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.24. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 0.75) point toward Gemlikspor. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gemlikspor
30%
Draws
19%
Kepez Bld.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gemlikspor have won more games recently than Kepez Bld..
  • Gemlikspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 20%
Kepez Bld. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Kepez Bld.
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 85 / 100
Kepez Bld. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Kepez Bld.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kepez Bld.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Gemlikspor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gemlikspor found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Kepez Bld.'s recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Kepez Bld.
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6

Kepez Bld.

(Away)
07 Oct
Eskisehir Anadolu
4 : 2
Kepez Bld.
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1
Karsiyaka
27 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 0
Kepez Bld.
20 Sept
Kepez Bld.
1 : 1
Soke 1970
16 Sept
Karaman FK
2 : 3
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)