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Stadium Background

Gemlikspor vs Turgutlu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Akoz M.
81' Event
Yasak C.
90' Event
Yasak C.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 game between Gemlikspor and Turgutlu finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemlikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Gemlikspor
20%
Draws
28%
Turgutlu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gemlikspor come out ahead of Turgutlu on wins alone.
  • Gemlikspor are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Turgutlu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.28 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Gemlikspor vs Turgutlu
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Turgutlu vs Gemlikspor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasak C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akoz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Turgutlu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 86 / 100
Turgutlu 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Turgutlu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turgutlu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gemlikspor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gemlikspor found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Aksehirspor
0 : 4
Gemlikspor
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Turgutlu

(Away)
26 Apr
Turgutlu
0 : 3
Izmir Coruhlu
20 Apr
Nigde
1 : 3
Turgutlu
13 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 3
Orduspor 1967
06 Apr
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Turgutlu
02 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)