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Gendarmerie vs ASAS

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Gendarmerie
17%
Draws
70%
ASAS
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: ASAS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Gendarmerie haven't matched ASAS's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on ASAS taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 14%
ASAS Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendarmerie ASAS
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 17
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs ASAS
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Division 1
ASAS vs Gendarmerie
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs ASAS
1:1
Oct 13, 2023 Division 1
ASAS vs Gendarmerie
1:0
May 5, 2023 Division 1
ASAS vs Gendarmerie
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendarmerie 15 / 100
ASAS 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendarmerie ASAS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gendarmerie scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

ASAS has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Gendarmerie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gendarmerie VS ASAS
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gendarmerie

(Home)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 6

ASAS

(Away)
27 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
21 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 0
ASAS
24 May
ASAS
10 : 3
Hopital
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
27 Apr
Nurie Transit
0 : 2
ASAS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)