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Gendarmerie vs ASAS

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gendarmerie
35%
Draws
28%
ASAS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Gendarmerie haven't matched ASAS's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 16%
ASAS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendarmerie ASAS
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 11 18
Draws 14 11
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.44 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.06 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs ASAS
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Division 1
ASAS vs Gendarmerie
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs ASAS
1:1
Oct 13, 2023 Division 1
ASAS vs Gendarmerie
1:0
May 5, 2023 Division 1
ASAS vs Gendarmerie
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendarmerie 30 / 100
ASAS 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendarmerie ASAS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gendarmerie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gendarmerie scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

ASAS has conceded goals in 63% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Gendarmerie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gendarmerie VS ASAS
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gendarmerie

(Home)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
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ASAS

(Away)
12 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
ZED FC
06 Sept
ZED FC
4 : 0
ASAS
27 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
21 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 0
ASAS
24 May
ASAS
10 : 3
Hopital
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
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