Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Genemuiden and Urk finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genemuiden.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Genemuiden come out ahead of Urk on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Urk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 10%
Urk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Genemuiden | Urk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 2.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Urk
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Genemuiden
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Urk
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Genemuiden
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs Urk
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Genemuiden 22 / 100
Urk 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Genemuiden Urk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Urk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Urk has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Genemuiden found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Genemuiden has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Genemuiden VS Urk
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Genemuiden
(Home) 15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
Genemuiden
1 : 1 Hardenberg
23 May
VV Hoogeveen
2 : 1 Genemuiden
16 May
Genemuiden
2 : 6 VV DOVO
09 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 0 Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
Genemuiden
1 : 1 Hardenberg
16 May
Genemuiden
2 : 6 VV DOVO
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
11 Apr
Genemuiden
0 : 2 TEC
Page 1 of 3
Urk
(Away) 23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
Page 1 of 6
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
11 Apr
Eemdijk
5 : 3 Urk
21 Mar
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Urk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
