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Genesis FC vs CD Choloma

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova, La Paz
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genesis FC host CD Choloma in the Liga Nacional. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Genesis FC at 1.13 goals for, 1 against; CD Choloma at 1.88 for, 2.25 against. Past meetings favor Genesis FC slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Genesis FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Genesis FC
11%
Draws
9%
CD Choloma
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Genesis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genesis FC come out ahead of CD Choloma on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Genesis FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 16%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genesis FC CD Choloma
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Genesis FC
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Genesis FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genesis FC 75 / 100
CD Choloma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genesis FC CD Choloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choloma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Genesis FC scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Genesis FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genesis FC VS CD Choloma
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Genesis FC

(Home)
19 May
Motagua
2 : 1
Genesis FC
15 May
Genesis FC
1 : 1
Olancho
07 May
Olancho
1 : 3
Genesis FC
04 May
Genesis FC
1 : 1
Motagua
01 May
Olancho
2 : 2
Genesis FC
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CD Choloma

(Away)
01 May
Marathon
0 : 1
CD Choloma
26 Apr
Motagua
5 : 1
CD Choloma
19 Apr
CD Choloma
1 : 3
Olimpia
14 Apr
Victoria
2 : 5
CD Choloma
09 Apr
CD Choloma
3 : 2
Real Espana
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motagua00000:00
2Olimpia00000:00
3Marathon00000:00
4Real Espana00000:00
5Platense00000:00
6Juticalpa00000:00
7Atletico Independiente00000:00
8Lobos UPNFM00000:00
9Estrella00000:00
10Genesis FC00000:00
11Olancho00000:00
12CD Choloma00000:00
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)