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Genesis FC vs CD Choloma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Castillo H.
31' Event
Florez E.
Penalty Missed
35'
Sub
Balanta R. A. In: Rodriguez D.
Out: Balanta R. A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Genesis FC and CD Choloma finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genesis FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Genesis FC
30%
Draws
41%
CD Choloma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Choloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genesis FC come out ahead of CD Choloma on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Genesis FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 20%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genesis FC CD Choloma
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
2:0
Mar 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Genesis FC
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Genesis FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genesis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Alderete E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CD Choloma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genesis FC 36 / 100
CD Choloma 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genesis FC CD Choloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genesis FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Choloma let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Genesis FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genesis FC VS CD Choloma
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Genesis FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0
Genesis FC
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Marathon
22 Aug
Atletico Independiente
1 : 1
Genesis FC
Page 1 of 6

CD Choloma

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
23 Aug
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Juticalpa 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
12 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)