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Stadium Background

Genesis FC vs Juticalpa

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Tejeda A.
Penalty Missed
25' Event
Altamirano C.
46'
Sub
Gomez A. In: Bernardez K.
Out: Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Genesis FC and Juticalpa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juticalpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Genesis FC
20%
Draws
44%
Juticalpa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juticalpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Genesis FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Genesis FC taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 20%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genesis FC Juticalpa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Genesis FC
0:3
Apr 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Juticalpa
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Genesis FC
1:1
Dec 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Juticalpa
2:2
Sep 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Genesis FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genesis FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Juticalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Altamirano C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genesis FC 85 / 100
Juticalpa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genesis FC Juticalpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genesis FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juticalpa let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Genesis FC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Genesis FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Genesis FC VS Juticalpa
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Genesis FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0
Genesis FC
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Marathon
22 Aug
Atletico Independiente
1 : 1
Genesis FC
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Juticalpa

(Away)
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
14 Sept
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
Juticalpa
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)