Sport Picks

Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova

Genesis FC

0 - 2

Lobos UPNFM

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Pena K.

46'

Sub

Castillo M. In: Lopez E.

Out: Castillo M.

46'

Sub

Guity E. In: Vasquez E.

Out: Guity E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lobos UPNFM in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lobos UPNFM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Genesis FC

Draws

Lobos UPNFM

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Genesis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Genesis FC have won more games recently than Lobos UPNFM.
90% — that's where the model lands on Genesis FC taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Genesis FC Clean Sheet 20%

Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Genesis FC	Lobos UPNFM
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	9	8
Draws	9	10
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	1	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Liga Nacional

Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis FC

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Mar 2, 2026 Liga Nacional

Genesis FC vs Lobos UPNFM

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Sep 27, 2025 Liga Nacional

Genesis FC vs Lobos UPNFM

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Jul 23, 2025 Liga Nacional

Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis FC

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Mar 12, 2025 Liga Nacional

Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis FC

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genesis FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Lobos UPNFM Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rochez J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genesis FC 85 / 100

Lobos UPNFM 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Genesis FC Lobos UPNFM

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genesis FC scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Lobos UPNFM has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Genesis FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genesis FC VS Lobos UPNFM

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Espana	20	11	7	2	37:25	40
2	Motagua	20	11	6	3	36:17	39
3	Olimpia	20	11	5	4	35:17	38
4	Olancho	20	8	8	4	28:16	32
5	Marathon	20	7	6	7	23:19	27
6	Genesis FC	20	6	5	9	20:28	23
7	CD Choloma	20	6	5	9	23:32	23
8	Platense	20	5	6	9	26:29	21
9	Lobos UPNFM	20	5	6	9	23:30	21
10	Juticalpa	20	4	6	10	18:41	18
11	Victoria	20	4	4	12	25:40	16