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Genoa U20 vs Novara U20

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Primavera - Group A 2011/2012
Genoa U20 Logo

Genoa U20

0 - 0
FT
Novara U20 Logo

Novara U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2011/2012 game between Genoa U20 and Novara U20 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Genoa U20
15%
Draws
26%
Novara U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genoa U20 come out ahead of Novara U20 on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Genoa U20 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera - Group A 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Genoa U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Genoa U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Novara U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa U20 Novara U20
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 12 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Genoa U20 vs Novara U20
3:1
Nov 24, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Novara U20 vs Genoa U20
1:2
Mar 31, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Novara U20 vs Genoa U20
1:2
Nov 19, 2011 Primavera - Group A
Genoa U20 vs Novara U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa U20 85 / 100
Novara U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa U20 Novara U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Genoa U20 scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Novara U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Genoa U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa U20 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa U20

(Home)
20 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 1
Atalanta U20
11 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 1
Genoa U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
23 Aug
Genoa U20
0 : 1
Inter U20
Page 1 of 8

Novara U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Novara U20
0 : 2
Parma U20
13 Apr
Genoa U20
3 : 1
Novara U20
06 Apr
Novara U20
1 : 2
Juventus U20
03 Apr
Fiorentina U20
2 : 1
Novara U20
16 Mar
Novara U20
3 : 2
Grosseto U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U20 26 17 4 5 67:31 55
2 Torino U20 26 14 7 5 38:23 49
3 Fiorentina U20 26 13 9 4 45:23 48
4 Genoa U20 26 11 10 5 39:29 43
5 Sampdoria U20 26 11 8 7 44:34 41
6 Livorno U20 26 11 7 8 46:42 40
7 Empoli U20 26 12 4 10 35:39 40
8 Novara U20 26 8 11 7 44:35 35
9 Parma U20 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Cagliari U20 26 7 8 11 33:46 29
11 Sassuolo U20 26 6 10 10 36:43 28
12 Siena U20 26 4 10 12 34:38 22
13 Modena U20 26 4 7 15 21:45 19
14 Grosseto U20 26 3 3 20 18:67 12
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)