Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa vs Mantova

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
28'
29'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Genoa and Mantova finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Genoa
20%
Draws
57%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mantova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mantova are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Genoa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%
Mantova Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Mantova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Genoa vs Mantova
3:2
Jul 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Genoa vs Mantova
3:2
Aug 24, 2008 Coppa Italia
Genoa vs Mantova
3:1
Jun 3, 2007 Serie B
Mantova vs Genoa
1:0
Jan 19, 2007 Serie B
Genoa vs Mantova
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcandalli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Venturino L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Radaelli N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 18 / 100
Mantova 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Mantova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Genoa's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Genoa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Mantova
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2
Napoli
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Mantova

(Away)
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
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