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Stadium Background

Genoa W vs Fiorentina W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Hilaj A.
Assist: Cuschieri R.
11'
Acuti A.
20'
Sondengaard A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Genoa W and Fiorentina W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fiorentina W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Genoa W
15%
Draws
34%
Fiorentina W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentina W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Genoa W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fiorentina W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Genoa W Clean Sheet 10%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa W Fiorentina W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Serie A Women
Genoa W vs Fiorentina W
2:3
Jan 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Genoa W
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Fiorentina W vs Genoa W
2:1
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Women
Genoa W vs Fiorentina W
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilaj A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sondengaard A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Fiorentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bredgaard S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Der Zanden I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa W 40 / 100
Fiorentina W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa W Fiorentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Genoa W scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Fiorentina W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Genoa W VS Fiorentina W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa W

(Home)
20 Sept
Vicenza W
1 : 2
Genoa W
12 Sept
Genoa W
2 : 1
Brescia W
05 Sept
Bologna W
4 : 0
Genoa W
16 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Genoa W
09 May
Genoa W
2 : 3
Fiorentina W
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Fiorentina W

(Away)
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
08 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 1
Manchester City W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)