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Genova vs Alcudia

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Genova and Alcudia finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Genova
20%
Draws
44%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Genova haven't matched Alcudia's recent run of results.
  • Alcudia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Genova Clean Sheet 25%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genova Alcudia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Genova
2:0
May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Alcudia
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genova 29 / 100
Alcudia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genova Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Genova's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Alcudia conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Genova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcudia
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Genova

(Home)
20 Jun
Alcudia
2 : 0
Genova
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1
Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Binissalem
2 : 2
Genova
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Llosetense
3 : 1
Genova
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Alcudia

(Away)
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
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