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Gent vs Heur Tongeren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2020/2021 Planet Group Arena, Gent
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Tissoudali T.
Assist: Bezus R.
32'
Sub
Depoitre L. In: Niangbo A.
Out: Depoitre L.
33' Event
Bezus R.
Assist: Samoise M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Gent advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Gent
15%
Draws
24%
Heur Tongeren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Heur Tongeren haven't matched Gent's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gent's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Gent have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gent, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Gent Clean Sheet 20%
Heur Tongeren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent Heur Tongeren
Matches Played 29 3
Wins 14 1
Draws 11 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2021 Belgian Cup
Gent vs Heur Tongeren
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Tissoudali T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bezus R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Heur Tongeren Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent 67 / 100
Heur Tongeren 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent Heur Tongeren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Gent has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gent's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Heur Tongeren's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 3 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gent VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent

(Home)
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
30 Aug
Gent
2 : 1
Club Brugge
Page 1 of 6

Heur Tongeren

(Away)
03 Feb
Gent
5 : 0
Heur Tongeren
11 Oct
Heur Tongeren
3 : 0
SG-Tertre Hautrage
04 Oct
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 0
Heur Tongeren

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
OC Charleroi 1
Waregem 0
Boom 0
Eupen 5
Gent 5
Heur Tongeren 0
Charleroi 1
Westerlo 0
Lommel SK 1
Kortrijk 3
RFC Seraing 1
St. Liege 4
Club Brugge 6
Olsa Brakel 1
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Royale Union SG 2
Royal Excel Mouscron 1
RFC Liege 0
Anderlecht 2
Leuven 2
Cercle Brugge 3
SK Beveren 2
Oostende 3
Thes Sport 0
Genk 5
Sporting Lokeren 0
St. Truiden 2
Dessel 0
Beerschot VA 5
KV Mechelen 2
RWDM Brussels 0
1/8-finals
OC Charleroi 1
Eupen 5
Gent 3
Charleroi 1
Kortrijk 1
St. Liege 2
Club Brugge 3
Antwerp 1
Royale Union SG 0
Anderlecht 5
Cercle Brugge 3
Oostende 1
Genk 1
St. Truiden 0
Beerschot VA 0
KV Mechelen 1
Quarter-finals
Eupen 1
Gent 0
St. Liege 1
Club Brugge 0
Anderlecht 1
Cercle Brugge 0
Genk 4
KV Mechelen 1
Semi-finals
Eupen 0
St. Liege 1
Anderlecht 1
Genk 2
Final
St. Liege 1
Genk 2