Sport Picks

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Genus vs Real Ariquemes

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense 2024
Genus Logo

Genus

Sun, Feb 25, 2024
VS
07:30 PM
Real Ariquemes Logo

Real Ariquemes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Genus host Real Ariquemes in the Rondoniense 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Real Ariquemes have shipped 2.61 goals a game lately, while Genus have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Real Ariquemes slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 31, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.06) back Genus to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Genus
20%
Draws
10%
Real Ariquemes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Genus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

10% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Genus lately — more wins on the board than Real Ariquemes.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Genus Clean Sheet 20%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genus Real Ariquemes
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 7 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.44
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Genus
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Rondoniense
Genus vs Real Ariquemes
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Rondoniense
Genus vs Real Ariquemes
0:3
Apr 10, 2022 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Genus
0:0
Apr 3, 2022 Rondoniense
Genus vs Real Ariquemes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genus 36 / 100
Real Ariquemes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genus Real Ariquemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Ariquemes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Ariquemes conceded in 83% of 18 recent games.

Recent resilience: Genus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Real Ariquemes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Genus's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Genus VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Genus

(Home)
12 Mar
Ji-Parana
3 : 0
Genus
28 Feb
Genus
2 : 0
Barcelona RO
25 Feb
Uniao Cacoalense
1 : 2
Genus
22 Feb
Guapore
3 : 1
Genus
15 Feb
Genus
0 : 0
CA Rondoniense
Page 1 of 6

Real Ariquemes

(Away)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Velho 10 7 1 2 20:9 22
2 Barcelona RO 10 4 4 2 14:9 16
3 Uniao Cacoalense 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
4 Vilhena 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
5 Ji-Parana 10 3 2 5 6:12 11
6 Genus 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
7 Real Ariquemes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Rondoniense 2024 (Play Offs)