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Genus vs SC Ulbra Ji Parana

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genus play SC Ulbra Ji Parana in the Campeonato Rondoniense 2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Genus averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. SC Ulbra Ji Parana averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Genus won 0, SC Ulbra Ji Parana won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 13, 2008 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Genus and 1.06 for SC Ulbra Ji Parana. This points to a SC Ulbra Ji Parana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Genus
31%
Draws
48%
SC Ulbra Ji Parana
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: SC Ulbra Ji Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Genus picked up more points recently compared to SC Ulbra Ji Parana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Genus Clean Sheet 22%
SC Ulbra Ji Parana Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genus SC Ulbra Ji Parana
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 13
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.06 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2008 Rondoniense
SC Ulbra Ji Parana vs Genus
3:2
Mar 15, 2008 Rondoniense
Genus vs SC Ulbra Ji Parana
2:4
May 6, 2007 Rondoniense
Genus vs SC Ulbra Ji Parana
1:1
Apr 11, 2007 Rondoniense
SC Ulbra Ji Parana vs Genus
2:0
Apr 21, 2006 Rondoniense
Genus vs SC Ulbra Ji Parana
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genus 23 / 100
SC Ulbra Ji Parana 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genus SC Ulbra Ji Parana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SC Ulbra Ji Parana or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Genus attacking → ← attacking SC Ulbra Ji Parana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genus scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

SC Ulbra Ji Parana let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Genus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SC Ulbra Ji Parana lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 55
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SC Ulbra Ji Parana1291247:1028
2Vilhena1272325:1323
3Uniao Cacoalense1262416:1020
4Ji-Parana1253417:1518
5Genus1250719:2915
6Pimentense1233621:1812
7Shallon12111014:644