Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germaneya vs Hebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hebar in this Third League - South-West 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Germaneya
20%
Draws
58%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hebar have won more games recently than Germaneya.
  • Hebar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hebar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%
Hebar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya Hebar
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2019 Third League - South-West
Hebar vs Germaneya
2:0
Nov 24, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Hebar
2:3
Mar 31, 2018 Third League - South-West
Hebar vs Germaneya
1:0
Sep 16, 2017 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Hebar
0:1
May 6, 2017 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Hebar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 10 / 100
Hebar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Germaneya scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Hebar conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Germaneya remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS Hebar
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Germaneya

(Home)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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Hebar

(Away)
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
23 Aug
Hebar
1 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)