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Germania Ratingen vs TVD Velbert Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Klefisch T.
61' Event
Kildiiarov M.
66' Event
Marino A.

AI Match Summary

TVD Velbert in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TVD Velbert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Germania Ratingen
20%
Draws
22%
TVD Velbert
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Germania Ratingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Germania Ratingen lately — more wins on the board than TVD Velbert.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Germania Ratingen taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Germania Ratingen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Germania Ratingen Clean Sheet 16%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germania Ratingen TVD Velbert
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 13 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2.06 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.44 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Germania Ratingen vs TVD Velbert
1:3
Nov 26, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Germania Ratingen
3:4
Dec 15, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Germania Ratingen
1:3
Aug 13, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Germania Ratingen vs TVD Velbert
3:2
May 7, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Germania Ratingen vs TVD Velbert
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germania Ratingen Compare

Top Goalscorer Klefisch T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

TVD Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Marino A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kildiiarov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germania Ratingen 84 / 100
TVD Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germania Ratingen TVD Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germania Ratingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germania Ratingen's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

TVD Velbert has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Germania Ratingen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Germania Ratingen VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Germania Ratingen

(Home)
02 Oct
Germania Ratingen
2 : 0
Scherpenberg
27 Sept
Baumberg
1 : 2
Germania Ratingen
20 Sept
Germania Ratingen
1 : 4
Dusseldorf II
11 Sept
Holzheim
3 : 3
Germania Ratingen
04 Sept
Germania Ratingen
1 : 1
SC St.Tonis
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TVD Velbert

(Away)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 34 22 8 4 82:31 74
2 Schonnebeck 34 22 6 6 108:39 72
3 SW Essen 34 21 6 7 74:42 69
4 SC St.Tonis 34 21 5 8 95:45 68
5 Homberg 34 19 5 10 67:46 62
6 Hilden 34 17 9 8 65:43 60
7 Buderich 34 16 5 13 79:74 53
8 Sonsbeck 34 13 6 15 52:63 45
9 Germania Ratingen 34 13 5 16 48:54 44
10 Meerbusch 34 11 10 13 63:63 43
11 SV Biemenhorst 34 12 6 16 50:75 42
12 FC Monheim 34 10 8 16 55:64 38
13 Kleve 34 8 13 13 45:53 37
14 Baumberg 34 9 8 17 47:72 35
15 Union Nettetal 34 8 6 20 44:73 30
16 SF Niederwenigern 34 6 11 17 43:70 29
17 Mulheimer FC 97 34 7 7 20 45:88 28
18 TVD Velbert 34 6 6 22 41:108 24
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)