Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germany U17 vs Portugal U17

World World

Friendly International Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lemke L.
72' Event
Mirza M. O.
74' Event
Mirza M. O.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Germany U17 and Portugal U17 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germany U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Germany U17
15%
Draws
51%
Portugal U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugal U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portugal U17 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portugal U17 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Germany U17 Clean Sheet 15%
Portugal U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U17 Portugal U17
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 22
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.16 2.72
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Friendly International
Portugal U17 vs Germany U17
1:0
Jan 14, 2026 Friendly International
Germany U17 vs Portugal U17
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Friendly International
Portugal U17 vs Germany U17
2:1
May 25, 2025 Euro U17
Portugal U17 vs Germany U17
2:1
Feb 19, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U17 vs Germany U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirza M. O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lemke L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Portugal U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U17 23 / 100
Portugal U17 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U17 Portugal U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U17 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Portugal U17's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Portugal U17 has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Germany U17 VS Portugal U17
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U17

(Home)
31 Mar
France U17
2 : 0
Germany U17
28 Mar
Germany U17
1 : 1
Slovenia U17
25 Mar
Germany U17
2 : 1
North Macedonia U17
18 Feb
Portugal U17
1 : 0
Germany U17
15 Feb
Spain U17
3 : 2
Germany U17
Page 1 of 7

Portugal U17

(Away)
31 Mar
Portugal U17
1 : 2
Iceland U17
28 Mar
Portugal U17
0 : 1
Romania U17
25 Mar
Italy U17
3 : 2
Portugal U17
18 Feb
Portugal U17
1 : 0
Germany U17
15 Feb
Portugal U17
5 : 0
Finland U17
Page 1 of 7