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Germany U17 W vs Denmark U17 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Germany U17 W play Denmark U17 W in the Friendly International Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Germany U17 W averaged 1.68 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Denmark U17 W averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Germany U17 W won 2, Denmark U17 W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 5, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Germany U17 W and 1.56 for Denmark U17 W. This points to a Germany U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Germany U17 W
15%
Draws
37%
Denmark U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Germany U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Denmark U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Germany U17 W Clean Sheet 15%
Denmark U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U17 W Denmark U17 W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 20 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.94
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Euro U17 Women
Germany U17 W vs Denmark U17 W
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Friendly International Women
Germany U17 W vs Denmark U17 W
2:1
Sep 11, 2025 Friendly International Women
Germany U17 W vs Denmark U17 W
0:1
Mar 20, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Germany U17 W vs Denmark U17 W
0:1
Sep 24, 2024 Friendly International Women
Denmark U17 W vs Germany U17 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pauls E. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Denmark U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fredsted K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U17 W 46 / 100
Denmark U17 W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U17 W Denmark U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Germany U17 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Germany U17 W attacking → ← attacking Denmark U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U17 W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Denmark U17 W let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Germany U17 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Denmark U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 54
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00