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Germany U19 vs Lithuania U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19
Mon, Sep 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Germany U19 host Lithuania U19 in the Euro U19. Germany U19 go into this one as the clear favorite. Lithuania U19 have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Germany U19 have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.47. Head-to-head, Germany U19 have won 2 to Lithuania U19's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 31, 2014, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.50, favoring Germany U19. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Germany U19
15%
Draws
37%
Lithuania U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Germany U19 lately — more wins on the board than Lithuania U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Germany U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Lithuania U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U19 Lithuania U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2014 Euro U19
Germany U19 vs Lithuania U19
2:0
Oct 11, 2008 Euro U19
Germany U19 vs Lithuania U19
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U19 31 / 100
Lithuania U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U19 Lithuania U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U19 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Lithuania U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Germany U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Germany U19 VS Lithuania U19
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U19

(Home)
11 Jul
Spain U19
2 : 0
Germany U19
08 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
04 Jul
Spain U19
4 : 0
Germany U19
01 Jul
Wales U19
0 : 4
Germany U19
28 Jun
Germany U19
4 : 3
Denmark U19
Page 1 of 7

Lithuania U19

(Away)
06 Jun
Estonia U19
3 : 1
Lithuania U19
04 Jun
Latvia U19
0 : 1
Lithuania U19
31 Mar
Lithuania U19
0 : 0
Northern Ireland U19
25 Mar
Azerbaijan U19
0 : 4
Lithuania U19
18 Nov
Lithuania U19
1 : 2
Latvia U19
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