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Germany U20 W vs Japan U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women U20 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Endo J.
Assist: Miyazawa H.
66'
Sub
Nusken S. In: Sanders S.
Out: Nusken S.
70' Event
Ueki R.
Assist: Takarada S.

AI Match Summary

Japan U20 W in this World Cup Women U20 2018 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Germany U20 W
20%
Draws
38%
Japan U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Germany U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U20 W lately — more wins on the board than Germany U20 W.
  • Model gives Germany U20 W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Japan U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20 W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Japan U20 W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Germany U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U20 W Japan U20 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 22
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.1 3.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2018 World Cup Women U20
Germany U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:3
Sep 4, 2012 World Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs Germany U20 W
0:3
Nov 23, 2008 World Cup Women U20
Germany U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Minge J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Japan U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Endo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ueki R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U20 W 86 / 100
Japan U20 W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U20 W Japan U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U20 W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Germany U20 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Japan U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Germany U20 W VS Japan U20 W
2 Goals Scored 5.13
3 Goals Conceded 0.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U20 W

(Home)
16 Sept
USA U20 W
3 : 2
Germany U20 W
12 Sept
Germany U20 W
5 : 1
Argentina U20 W
07 Sept
South Korea U20 W
1 : 0
Germany U20 W
04 Sept
Germany U20 W
3 : 1
Nigeria U20 W
01 Sept
Germany U20 W
5 : 2
Venezuela U20 W
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Japan U20 W

(Away)
17 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Japan U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
09 Jun
England U20 W
0 : 1
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
France U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 2
Nigeria U20 W 1
England U20 W 2
Netherlands U20 W 1
Germany U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 3
Semi-finals
France U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 1
England U20 W 0
Japan U20 W 2
Final
Spain U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 3
France U20 W 1
England U20 W 2