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Germany U21 vs Ukraine U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Martel E.
46'
Sub
Salyuk V. In: Bol A.
Out: Salyuk V.
46'
Sub
Roman V. In: Skorko D.
Out: Roman V.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Germany U21 and Ukraine U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germany U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Germany U21
15%
Draws
18%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Ukraine U21 haven't matched Germany U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Germany U21 a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Germany U21 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Germany U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 25 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.9 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2023 Friendly International
Germany U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:0
Oct 14, 2014 Euro U21
Germany U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:0
Oct 10, 2014 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Germany U21
0:3
Oct 11, 2010 Friendly International
Germany U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Beier M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lemperle T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ukraine U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U21 85 / 100
Ukraine U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U21 found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Germany U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ukraine U21 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Germany U21 VS Ukraine U21
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
14 Nov
Germany U21
6 : 0
Malta U21
14 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 2
Germany U21
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Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
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