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Germany U23 W vs Spain U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Uhlsport Park, Unterhaching
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mahmoud T.
17'
Astralaga E.
46'
Sub
Alguacil A. In: Gonzalez E.
Out: Alguacil A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Germany U23 W and Spain U23 W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germany U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Germany U23 W
15%
Draws
35%
Spain U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Germany U23 W come out ahead of Spain U23 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Germany U23 W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Germany U23 W Clean Sheet 14%
Spain U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U23 W Spain U23 W
Matches Played 22 25
Wins 15 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.23 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Germany U23 W vs Spain U23 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Weidauer S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mahmoud T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Spain U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U23 W 39 / 100
Spain U23 W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U23 W Spain U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U23 W's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Germany U23 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Spain U23 W conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Germany U23 W VS Spain U23 W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U23 W

(Home)
08 Oct
Scotland U23 W
0 : 2
Germany U23 W
08 Jun
Germany U23 W
2 : 2
Denmark U23 W
04 Jun
Germany U23 W
2 : 0
Denmark U23 W
16 Apr
Germany U23 W
1 : 0
Italy U23 W
12 Apr
Germany U23 W
2 : 1
Belgium U23 W
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Spain U23 W

(Away)
29 May
Spain U23 W
2 : 3
Sweden U23 W
06 Apr
Spain U23 W
3 : 4
Sweden U23 W
03 Apr
Spain U23 W
2 : 1
England U23 W
25 Feb
Spain U23 W
3 : 0
Denmark U23 W
20 Feb
Spain U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
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