Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germany vs France

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 MHPArena, Stuttgart
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Digne L.
29'
Raum D.
35'
Adeyemi K.

AI Match Summary

France in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Germany
15%
Draws
42%
France
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • France have won more games recently than Germany.
  • Model gives Germany a 43% chance of winning this.
  • France arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor France, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Germany Clean Sheet 13%
France Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany France
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 17 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.48 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Germany vs France
0:2
Mar 23, 2024 Friendly International
France vs Germany
0:2
Sep 12, 2023 Friendly International
Germany vs France
2:1
Jun 15, 2021 Euro
France vs Germany
1:0
Oct 16, 2018 UEFA Nations League
France vs Germany
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbappe K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olise M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany 75 / 100
France 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany France

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Germany remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

France let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Germany VS France
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany

(Home)
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
06 Jun
USA
1 : 2
Germany
Page 1 of 6

France

(Away)
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
30 Jun
France
3 : 0
Sweden
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Italy 4
Germany 5
Denmark 3
Portugal 5
Netherlands 5
Spain 6
Croatia 2
France 3
Semi-finals
Germany 1
Portugal 2
Spain 5
France 4
Final
Portugal 3
Spain 2
Germany 0
France 2