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Germany W vs Japan W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women Weserstadion, Bremen
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Germany W host Japan W in the Friendly International Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Germany W have averaged 2.43 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Japan W's 3 scored and 0.79 conceded. Head-to-head, Germany W have won 4 to Japan W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2019, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.33) back Germany W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Germany W
15%
Draws
46%
Japan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan W's 3 goals per match outpaces what Germany W have produced (2.43).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Germany W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Germany W Clean Sheet 18%
Japan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany W Japan W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.43 3
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2019 Friendly International Women
Germany W vs Japan W
2:2
Mar 12, 2014 Algarve Cup Women
Germany W vs Japan W
3:0
Jun 29, 2013 Friendly International Women
Germany W vs Japan W
4:2
Mar 8, 2013 Algarve Cup Women
Germany W vs Japan W
2:1
Mar 7, 2012 Algarve Cup Women
Germany W vs Japan W
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany W 36 / 100
Japan W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany W Japan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany W scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Germany W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Japan W conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Germany W VS Japan W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany W

(Home)
09 Jun
Slovenia W
0 : 2
Germany W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Austria W
0 : 0
Germany W
14 Apr
Germany W
5 : 1
Austria W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
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Japan W

(Away)
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3
Japan W
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0
South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8
Japan W
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