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Gernika Club vs Elgoibar

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gernika Club
6%
Draws
4%
Elgoibar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elgoibar haven't matched Gernika Club's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gernika Club a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 20%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Elgoibar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Elgoibar
0:0
Sep 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Gernika Club
1:1
Mar 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Gernika Club
1:3
Oct 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Elgoibar
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Elgoibar
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 85 / 100
Elgoibar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Elgoibar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gernika Club's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Elgoibar let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Gernika Club has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gernika Club VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leioa38249562:3481
2Portugalete382010867:3870
3Arenas Getxo38209967:3969
4Basconia381910977:4967
5Alaves B3817111054:3362
6Zalla UC3816121055:4560
7Gernika Club381514943:2959
8Zamudio3815111264:4856
9Balmaseda3814131145:4055
10Beasain3814101445:5952
11Santutxu FC38921837:4048
12SCD Durango381391652:5748
13Pasaia3812101639:4846
14Lagun Onak381291734:4645
15Oiartzun3811111640:6144
16Amurrio Club381191831:4542
17Bermeo389121737:4639
18Elgoibar387141726:4835
19Sodupe385102336:6525
20Retuerto Sport385102321:6225