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Gernika Club vs Naxara

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Villoslada I.
33' Event
Agirre G.
54' Event
Blanco Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

Naxara in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naxara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Gernika Club
35%
Draws
13%
Naxara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naxara lately — more wins on the board than Gernika Club.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Gernika Club taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%
Naxara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Naxara
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Naxara
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Gernika Club
1:4
Mar 24, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Gernika Club
2:1
Nov 12, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Naxara
1:1
May 1, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Naxara
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gernika Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Agirre G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badiola A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Naxara Compare

Top Goalscorer Villoslada I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 95 / 100
Naxara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Naxara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gernika Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gernika Club scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Naxara has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Gernika Club stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gernika Club VS Naxara
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gernika Club

(Home)
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Gernika Club
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0
Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
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Naxara

(Away)
27 Sept
Naxara
0 : 0
UD Barbastro
20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0
Naxara
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2
Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0
Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)