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Gernika Club vs Naxara

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Villoslada I.
33' Event
Agirre G.
54' Event
Blanco Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

Gernika Club host Naxara in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Gernika Club have averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Naxara's 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Gernika Club slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.69, favoring Gernika Club. Gernika Club in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gernika Club
33%
Draws
27%
Naxara
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Naxara has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gernika Club.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Gernika Club.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%
Naxara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Naxara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Naxara
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Gernika Club
1:4
Mar 24, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Gernika Club
2:1
Nov 12, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Naxara
1:1
May 1, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Naxara
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gernika Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Agirre G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badiola A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Naxara Compare

Top Goalscorer Villoslada I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 50 / 100
Naxara 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Naxara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gernika Club scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Naxara let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gernika Club went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Naxara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gernika Club VS Naxara
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025