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Gernika Club vs Utebo FC

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Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Aguado A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Gernika Club and Utebo FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utebo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gernika Club
35%
Draws
25%
Utebo FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gernika Club haven't matched Utebo FC's recent run of results.
  • Gernika Club are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Utebo FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Utebo FC
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs Gernika Club
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs Gernika Club
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Utebo FC
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Utebo FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gernika Club Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Utebo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguado A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 95 / 100
Utebo FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Utebo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gernika Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gernika Club's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Utebo FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Gernika Club stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gernika Club VS Utebo FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gernika Club

(Home)
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Gernika Club
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0
Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
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Utebo FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Utebo FC
0 : 1
Reus FC Reddis
19 Sept
Olot
1 : 2
Utebo FC
13 Sept
Utebo FC
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)