Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gernika Club vs Utebo FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Aguado A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Gernika Club and Utebo FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utebo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gernika Club
39%
Draws
31%
Utebo FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gernika Club haven't matched Utebo FC's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Utebo FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Utebo FC
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs Gernika Club
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs Gernika Club
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Utebo FC
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Utebo FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gernika Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Utebo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguado A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 41 / 100
Utebo FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Utebo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gernika Club's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Utebo FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Gernika Club stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gernika Club VS Utebo FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025