Sport Picks
Gesztely vs MTK Budapest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Hungary
Hungarian Cup 2023/2024 
Match Events
1'
1'
Molnar R.
9'
9'
Porkolab B. A.
60'
60'
Stieber Z.
AI Match Summary
MTK Budapest in this Hungarian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- MTK Budapest have won more games recently than Gesztely.
- Win probability leans MTK Budapest's way, sitting at 50%.
- MTK Budapest arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor MTK Budapest, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Gesztely Clean Sheet 13%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gesztely | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Gesztely vs MTK Budapest
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gesztely Compare
Top Goalscorer Porkolab B. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
MTK Budapest Compare
Top Goalscorer Molnar R.
3 Goals Assists Leader Kovacs P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gesztely 22 / 100
MTK Budapest 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gesztely MTK Budapest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MTK Budapest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: MTK Budapest conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Gesztely's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 8 recent games.
Recent resilience: Gesztely stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS MTK Budapest
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Gesztely
(Home) 27 Mar
Gesztely
0 : 3 Kazincbarcika
03 Aug
Gesztely
0 : 5 Hatvan FC
17 Sept
Gesztely
1 : 6 MTK Budapest
27 Aug
Gesztely
5 : 0 Hajdusamsoni
05 Aug
Biri SE
1 : 3 Gesztely
Page 1 of 2
27 Mar
Gesztely
0 : 3 Kazincbarcika
03 Aug
Gesztely
0 : 5 Hatvan FC
17 Sept
Gesztely
1 : 6 MTK Budapest
27 Aug
Gesztely
5 : 0 Hajdusamsoni
22 Sept
Gesztely
0 : 1 Sajobabony Vegyesz
MTK Budapest
(Away) 20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2 Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2 MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2 Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1 Nyiregyhaza
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2 MTK Budapest
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1 MTK Budapest
01 Aug
Honved
3 : 3 MTK Budapest
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3 MTK Budapest
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Csepel 8
Toponar 0
Marcali 1
Szentlorinc SE 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Szegedi 0
Szolnoki MAV 4
Kisujszallasi 1
Kelen 5
Kadarkut 1
Majosi 2
Penzugyor SE 2
Ivancsa 0
Ujfeherto 1
Hidasnemeti 2
Jaszfenyszarui 1
Godollo 3
Baracsi 0
Nagyatadi 3
K.Ocsard SE 0
Dunafoldvar 8
Energia Gyongyos 1
Tiszaujvaros 4
Felsozsolca 1
Tiszafuredi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Fuzfoi 3
Lajoskomarom 2
Celldomolki Vse 0
VSC Veszprem 2
Perbal 6
Tatai 2
Kajarpec 0
Komaromi VSE 8
Matraterenye 1
Putnok VSE 16
Berkenye 2
Senyo 11
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Bajai 2
Issimo 1
Pestszentimrei 2
FC Dabas 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Soroksar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Labatlani 5
Nadorvaros 0
Balatonfuredi 2
Budaorsi SC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Siofok -
OMTK-ULE 5
Cegledi 0
Felsopakony 3
III. Keruleti TVE 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Csakvari -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haladas -
Lorinci 6
Bank 1
Csenger 0
Cigand SE 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Asvanyraro 1
Zsambek 3
Urkut 2
Zalaszentgroti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Tarpa 4
Balmazujvarosi FC 0
Gyulahaza 0
Eger 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Nagyecsed 4
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Maklar 3
Karancslapujto 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Mosonmagyarovari TE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Bony 1
Mezoors 6
Vep VSE 4
Kiraly SE 3
Bolyi 2
Szekszardi 1
Maroshegy 2
Nagykanizsa FC 7
Sarbogard 2
Dombovari 1
Kaposvar 1
Dunaujvaros 0
Pecsvarad 5
Murakeresztur 1
Bataszek 0
PTE-PEAC 2
Apostag 0
Makoi 5
Dunaharaszti MTK 6
Sarreti 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasas -
Kecskemeti LC 5
Szeol 0
Tiszasziget 0
Korosladany MSK 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Andrashida 4
Esztergom 0
Balatonalmadi 0
Tatabanya 3
Csesztreg 2
Haladas VSE 3
Teskand 1
Csornai 2
Pecsi MFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Balatonfuredi USC 4
Rabapatyi KSK 1
Mori SE 0
Dorogi FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Mezomegyer 3
Femalk-Dunavarsany 1
Mezocsat 0
BKV Elore 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Papai Perutz 4
DG Tat 0
Rabaszentandras 0
Bicskei 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Nimrod 1
Unione 5
Szepetnek 1
Erdi 2
Csepel UFC 2
Csor FC 1
Nagybajom 2
Siklos 1
Algyo SK 2
Fuzesgyarmati 1
Pilisi 2
Hodmezovasarhely 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Monostorpalyi 0
Debreceni EAC 2
Jaszberenyi 0
Hatvan FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Tiszafoldvar 1
Bekescsaba 1912 2
Monori 3
Karcagi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Kecel 1
Szarvasi 7
Harta SE 1
ESMTK Budapest 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Biri SE 1
Gesztely 3
Balassagyarmat SE 0
Hajdusamsoni 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
1/64-finals
Csepel 1
Szentlorinc SE 2
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Szolnoki MAV 1
Kelen 4
Majosi 2
Penzugyor SE 0
Hidasnemeti 0
Godollo 3
Nagyatadi 0
Dunafoldvar 7
Tiszaujvaros 2
Tiszafuredi 1
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Fuzfoi 1
VSC Veszprem 6
Perbal 2
Komaromi VSE 3
Putnok VSE 3
Senyo 1
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Bajai 4
FC Dabas 3
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Soroksar -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Labatlani 0
Budaorsi SC 11
TBD -
Siofok -
OMTK-ULE 0
III. Keruleti TVE 1
TBD -
DVTK -
Csakvari -
TBD -
TBD -
Haladas -
Lorinci 0
Cigand SE 4
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Zsambek 3
Urkut 0
TBD -
Gyor -
Tarpa 0
Eger 1
TBD -
Debrecen -
Nagyecsed 2
Maklar 1
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Mosonmagyarovari TE -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Mezoors 5
Vep VSE 0
Bolyi 1
Nagykanizsa FC 5
Sarbogard 0
Kaposvar 1
Pecsvarad 0
PTE-PEAC 3
Makoi 0
Dunaharaszti MTK 12
TBD -
Vasas -
Kecskemeti LC 0
Korosladany MSK 8
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Andrashida 0
Tatabanya 4
Haladas VSE 2
Csornai 1
Pecsi MFC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Balatonfuredi USC 0
Dorogi FC 6
TBD -
Honved -
Mezomegyer 1
BKV Elore 3
TBD -
Paks -
Papai Perutz 0
Bicskei 4
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Unione 3
Erdi 1
Csepel UFC 5
Nagybajom 1
Algyo SK 0
Pilisi 1
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Debreceni EAC 4
Hatvan FC 0
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Bekescsaba 1912 3
Monori 1
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Szarvasi 1
ESMTK Budapest 5
TBD -
Videoton -
Gesztely 5
Hajdusamsoni 0
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
1/32-finals
Szentlorinc SE 1
BVSC-Zuglo 0
Kelen 1
Majosi 0
Godollo 1
Dunafoldvar 2
Tiszaujvaros 1
Nyiregyhaza 2
VSC Veszprem 4
Komaromi VSE 2
Putnok VSE 0
Budafoki MTE 1
Bajai 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 7
Soroksar 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Budaorsi SC 1
Siofok 2
III. Keruleti TVE 2
DVTK 6
Csakvari 1
Haladas 3
Cigand SE 0
Zalaegerszegi 4
Zsambek 0
Gyor 2
Eger 1
Debrecen 2
Nagyecsed 0
Ferencvaros 8
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Puskas Academy 2
Mezoors 1
Nagykanizsa FC 0
Kaposvar 2
PTE-PEAC 0
Dunaharaszti MTK 0
Vasas 1
Korosladany MSK 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Tatabanya 2
Haladas VSE 1
Pecsi MFC 1
Ujpest 3
Dorogi FC 2
Honved 4
BKV Elore 0
Paks 7
Bicskei 0
Tiszakecske 3
Ajka 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
Unione 1
Csepel UFC 0
Pilisi 0
Kisvarda FC 5
Debreceni EAC 1
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Kazincbarcika 2
ESMTK Budapest 1
Videoton 0
Gesztely 1
MTK Budapest 6
1/16-finals
Szentlorinc SE 3
Kelen 0
Dunafoldvar 0
Nyiregyhaza 1
VSC Veszprem 3
Budafoki MTE 2
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Kecskemeti TE 1
Siofok 1
DVTK 3
Haladas 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Gyor 0
Debrecen 1
Ferencvaros 4
Puskas Academy 3
Mezoors 2
Kaposvar 1
Vasas 3
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Tatabanya 0
Ujpest 2
Honved 2
Paks 3
Tiszakecske 1
Ajka 0
Unione 0
Kisvarda FC 6
Kozarmisleny SE 4
Kazincbarcika 2
ESMTK Budapest 0
MTK Budapest 4
1/8-finals
Szentlorinc SE 1
Nyiregyhaza 5
VSC Veszprem 0
Kecskemeti TE 2
DVTK 4
Zalaegerszegi 2
Debrecen 1
Ferencvaros 2
Mezoors 1
Vasas 2
Ujpest 1
Paks 2
Tiszakecske 0
Kisvarda FC 3
Kozarmisleny SE 0
MTK Budapest 3
Quarter-finals
Nyiregyhaza 2
Kecskemeti TE 1
DVTK 0
Ferencvaros 2
Vasas 2
Paks 5
Kisvarda FC 3
MTK Budapest 2
Semi-finals
Nyiregyhaza 1
Ferencvaros 2
Paks 2
Kisvarda FC 1
Final
Ferencvaros 0
Paks 2
