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Gesztely vs Sajobabony Vegyesz

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gesztely play Sajobabony Vegyesz in the Hungarian Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gesztely averaged 1.38 goals scored and 3 conceded. Sajobabony Vegyesz averaged 0.94 goals scored and 2.81 conceded. In past meetings, Gesztely won 0, Sajobabony Vegyesz won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 22, 2018 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Gesztely and 1.81 for Sajobabony Vegyesz. This points to a Sajobabony Vegyesz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gesztely
15%
Draws
46%
Sajobabony Vegyesz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sajobabony Vegyesz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Gesztely picked up more points recently compared to Sajobabony Vegyesz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Gesztely Clean Sheet 11%
Sajobabony Vegyesz Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gesztely Sajobabony Vegyesz
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 1
Losses 6 24
Goals Scored 1.38 0.94
Goals Conceded 3 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2018 Hungarian Cup
Gesztely vs Sajobabony Vegyesz
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gesztely 37 / 100
Sajobabony Vegyesz 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gesztely Sajobabony Vegyesz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sajobabony Vegyesz or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gesztely attacking → ← attacking Sajobabony Vegyesz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gesztely scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Sajobabony Vegyesz let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Gesztely went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sajobabony Vegyesz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 19
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88